Adverse outcome pathways: A mechanistic framework for predictive toxicology and risk assessment
P. Veeresh Babu, Ch. Shrivalli, N. Sree Lakshmi
Abstract
The greatest health care and pharmaceutical problems remain adverse drug reactions and chemical toxicities. Because of the extensive use of animal testing, conventional toxicology approaches often do not have the mechanistic insights required to relate molecular perturbations to their adverse biological outcomes. To address this limitation, adverse outcome pathway architecture is a sequence of causally related events beginning with a molecular initiating event, followed by key events, and concluding with an adverse outcome. This study describes the construction and applications of adverse outcome pathways in chemical risk assessment, predictive toxicology, and regulatory decision-making. More recent developments, including quantitative adverse outcome pathways and adverse outcome pathway networks, have enhanced the ability to model biological complexity and dose-response interactions. Adverse outcome pathways provide a solid mechanistic basis for toxicity prediction and allow the transition of modern toxicology to non-animal, human-relevant testing systems, although barriers such as a lack of quantitative data and regulatory acceptability stand.
Keywords
References
- Sherif FM. Role of the pharmacist in adverse drug reaction monitoring. Pharmacy and Pharmacology International Journal. 2017; 5(5):133. doi: 10.15406/ppij.2017.05.00133
- Sherif FM, Sherif RF, Saeed NM. Pharmacotherapy and associated risk factors for pulmonary tuberculosis. Mediterranean Journal of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences. 2021; 1(4): 84-49. doi: 10.528/zenodo.5806168
- Jiang H, Lin Y, Ren W, Fang Z, Liu Y, Tan X, et al. Adverse drug reactions and correlations with drug-drug interactions: A retrospective study of reports from 2011 to 2020. Frontiers in Pharmacology. 2022; 13: 923939. doi: 10.3389/fphar.2022.923939
- Pirmohamed M. Mechanisms of adverse drug reactions. In: Strom BL, Kimmel SE, Hennessy S. Textbook of Pharmacoepidemiology. Chichester (UK): John Wiley & Sons; 2nd ed, 2014; 459-474. doi: 10.1002/ 9781118820186ch30
- Rawlins MD, Thompson JW. Mechanisms of adverse drug reactions. In: Davies DM. Textbook of Adverse Drug Reactions. Oxford: Oxford University Press; 1st ed, 1977; 10-31. doi: 10.2165/00002018-200528100-00003
- Pirmohamed M, James S, Meakin S, Green C, Scott AK, Walley TJ, et al. Adverse drug reactions as cause of admission to hospital: Prospective analysis of 18820 patients. British Medical Journal. 2004; 329(7456): 15-19. doi: 10.1136/bmj.329.7456.15
- World Health Organization. Safety monitoring of medicinal products: Guidelines for setting up and running a pharmacovigilance centre. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2000.
- Uppsala Monitoring Centre. The importance of pharmacovigilance: Safety monitoring of medicinal products. Uppsala Monitoring Centre; 2002. Available from: https://who-umc.org/media/16469/the-importance-of-pharmacovigilance.pdf
- Tandon VR, Mahajan V, Khajuria V, Gillani Z. Under-reporting of adverse drug reactions: A challenge for pharmacovigilance in India. Indian Journal of Pharmacology. 2015; 47(1): 65-71. doi: 10.4103/0253-7613. 150344
- Sreeja R, Ramaiah B, Prabhudev BR, Bangi P. Adverse drug reactions: A prospective observational study at a tertiary care hospital. International Journal of Basic and Clinical Pharmacology. 2025; 15(1): 106-111. doi: 10.18203/2319-2003.ijbcp20254160
- Ahmad GR, Ahmad D, Rajput SA, Khan H, Shammas MA. Reconsidering the scientific validity of the term “non-toxic” in toxicological risk assessment. Archives of Clinical Toxicology. 2026; 8(1): 8-10. doi: 10.46439/ toxicology.8.046
- Hayes AW, Kruger CL. Principles and methods of toxicology. Boca Raton (FL): CRC Press; 6th Ed., 2014. doi: 10.1201/9781003390008
- Pognan F, Beilmann M, Boonen HCM, Czich A, Dear G, Hewitt P, et al. The evolving role of investigative toxicology in the pharmaceutical industry. Nature Reviews of Drug Discovery. 2023; 22(4): 317-335. doi: 10.1038/s41573-022-00633-x
- Zanger UM, Schwab M. Cytochrome P450 enzymes in drug metabolism: Regulation of gene expression, enzyme activities, and impact of genetic variation. Pharmacology and therapeutics. 2013; 138(1): 103-141. doi: 10.1016/j.pharmthera.2012.12.007
- Sarrar AM, Rafieda AM, Shaglouf DH, Elshwain WM. Venous and arterial thrombosis during oral contraceptive use in Libyan women. Mediterranean Journal of Medical Research. 2025; 2(4): 259-268. doi: 10.5281/zenodo.17863440
- Alhaddad FE, Abuleid KM. Evaluation of adverse effects of AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine after the first dose in Libyan adults: A cross-sectional study. Mediterranean Journal of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences. 2022; 2(4): 65-69. doi: 10.5281/zenodo.7479778
- Paul SK. Assessment of knowledge and attitude of adverse drug reactions among healthcare professionals in Bangladesh. Mediterranean Journal of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences. 2025; 5(2): 70-78. doi: 10.5281/ zenodo.15275065
- Aburawi SM, Erhuma ME, Mussa MA. Incidence of agranulocytosis as an adverse effect of antipsychotic drugs in patients with schizophrenia. Mediterranean Journal of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences. 2022; 2(2): 52-63. doi: 10.5281/zenodo.6780500
- Khonsary SA. Goodman and Gilman’s The Pharmacological Basis of Therapeutics. Surgical Neurology International. 2023; 14: 91. doi: 10.25259/SNI_184_2023.
- Kudin AP, Mawasi H, Eisenkraft A, Elger CE, Bialer M, Kunz WS. Mitochondrial liver toxicity of valproic acid and its acid derivatives is related to inhibition of α-lipoamide dehydrogenase. International Journal of Molecular Sciences. 2017; 18: 1912. doi: 10.3390/ijms18091912
- Pichler WJ. Immune pathomechanism and classification of drug hypersensitivity. Allergy. 2019; 74(8): 1457-1471. doi: 10.1111/all.13765
- Pavlos R, Mallal S, Ostrov D, Pompeu Y, Phillips E. Fever, rash, and systemic symptoms: Understanding the role of virus and HLA in severe cutaneous drug allergy. Journal of Allergy Clinical Immunology Practice. 2014; 2(1): 21-33. doi: 10.1016/j.jaip/2013.11.005
- Hoegberg LCG, Shepherd G, Wood DM, Johnson J, Hoffman RS, Caravati EM, et al. Systematic review on the use of activated charcoal for gastrointestinal decontamination following acute oral overdose. Clinical Toxicology (Phila). 2021; 59(12): 1196-1227. doi: 10.1080/15563650.2021.1961144
- Nelson LS, Howland MA, Lewin NA, Smith SW, Goldfrank LR, Hoffman RS. Goldfrank’s Toxicologic Emergencies. 11th ed. 2019; New York: McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0-07-160594-6.
- OECD. Users’ handbook supplement to the guidance document for developing and accessing adverse outcome pathways. Paris: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development; 2018. doi: 10.1787/5jlv1m9d1 g32-en.
- Ankley GT, Bennett RS, Erickson RJ, Hoff DJ, Hornung MW, Johnson RD, et al. Adverse outcome pathways: A conceptual framework to support ecotoxicology research and risk assessment. Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry. 2010; 29(3): 730-741. doi:10.1002/etc.34
- Villeneuve DL, Crump D, Garcia-Reyero N, Hecker M, Hutchinson TH, LaLone CA, Landesmann B, Lettieri T, Munn S, Nepelska M, Ottinger MA, Vergauwen L, Whelan M. Adverse outcome pathway (AOP) development I: Strategies and Principles, Toxicological Sciences. 2014; 142 (2): 312-320. doi: 10.1093/toxsci/ kfu199
- OECD. The adverse outcome pathway knowledge base (AOP-KB). Paris: Organisation for economic co-operation and development; 2020. https://aopkb.oecd.org
- Roper C, Tanguay RL. Adverse outcome pathways: Application to predictive toxicology. Toxicological Sciences. 2020; 173(2): 215-226. doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-813602-7.00040-5
- Zhao H, Ni P, Zhao Q, Liang X, Ai D, Erhardt S, et al. Identifying the serious clinical outcomes of adverse reactions to drugs by a multi-task deep learning framework. Communications Biology. 2023; 6: 870. doi: 10.1038/s42003-023-05243-w.
- Jaeschke H, Ramachandran A, Chao X, Ding WX. Emerging and established modes of cell death during acetaminophen-induced liver injury. Archives of Toxicology. 2019; 93: 3491-3502. doi: 10.1007/s00204-019-02597-1
- Vinken M, Knapen D, Vergauwen L, Hengstler JG, Angrish M, Whelan M. Adverse outcome pathways: A concise introduction for toxicologists. Archives of Toxicology. 2017; 91(11): 3697-3707 doi: 10.1007/s00204-017-2020-z
Submitted date:
04/04/2026
Reviewed date:
05/01/2026
Accepted date:
05/04/2026
Publication date:
05/05/2026
